sdhyky
0x264cbb7263b0c336c58fb5a5de1773896e6bbaca
- Realised P&L
- $53.3k
- Volume
- $12.99M
- Markets traded
- 871
- Open portfolio
- $40.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded871
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.2kat 0.998S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10?
- +$10.0kat 0.499S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?
- +$3.8kat 0.744Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?
- +$3.7kat 0.727SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 29?
- +$3.1kat 0.902Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 05:29 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in August? | BUY | 0.4188 | $230.34 |
| 08-03 05:28 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in August? | BUY | 0.7168632708 | $267.39 |
| 08-02 21:52 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August? | SELL | 0.975 | $398.61 |
| 08-02 19:58 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in August? | BUY | 0.4848694853 | $232.01 |
| 07-31 14:10 | Will G2 Esports Win LEC Summer Split 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $12.04 |
| 07-31 13:24 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 31? | BUY | 0.9496764157 | $1.5k |
| 07-31 13:21 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.0702487686 | $14.12 |
| 07-31 13:20 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.071 | $21.30 |
| 07-31 13:20 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.0707317314 | $306.91 |
| 07-31 13:20 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.079 | $13.43 |
| 07-31 13:12 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $400.00 |
| 07-31 13:12 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.079 | $0.79 |
| 07-31 04:19 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 31? | SELL | 0.7317695473 | $177.82 |
| 07-31 04:19 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 31? | SELL | 0.7267501434 | $215.33 |
| 07-30 20:15 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 31? | BUY | 0.56 | $168.00 |