PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

AdjunctBias

0x27e56917c5c7c5ae7662b85cf86c289bfc39fb20

Realised P&L
$-14.6k
Volume
$226.6k
Markets traded
69
Open portfolio
$45.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded69
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? · No0.8120.765$28.6k$1.8k
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? · No0.9080.916$8.5k+$80.98
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? · No0.8020.335$4.7k$6.5k
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? · No0.9380.947$2.2k+$21.30
Will GBP/USD hit 1.60 (High) in 2026? · No0.8800.925$479.66+$23.30
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026? · No0.8700.971$375.44+$39.05
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? · No0.9260.974$154.26+$7.54
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? · No0.9090.979$103.43+$7.37
Will Citigroup fail by end of 2026? · No0.8700.991$49.52+$6.02
Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026? · No0.7570.988$33.27+$7.76
Will RBC fail by end of 2026? · No0.8330.969$26.15+$3.65
Will BNY fail by end of 2026? · No0.8270.972$25.80+$3.85
Will Bank of America fail by end of 2026? · No0.8570.979$25.12+$3.13
Will GBP/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026? · No0.7670.860$21.81+$2.36
Will GBP/USD hit 1.70 (High) in 2026? · No0.8760.945$8.56+$0.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-26 22:05Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?BUY0.66$7.89
07-23 09:43Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?SELL0.7457182616$34.83
06-27 00:32Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?BUY0.73$14.60
06-18 09:49Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?BUY0.88$79.20
06-18 09:48Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?BUY0.9542028305$132.15
06-18 09:46Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?BUY0.75$22.50
06-18 09:46Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?BUY0.73$29.20
06-15 00:24Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?BUY0.7$70.00
06-15 00:08Will Santander fail by June 30, 2026?BUY0.992$297.60
06-15 00:07Will Santander fail by June 30, 2026?BUY0.991$198.20
06-15 00:07Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026?BUY0.992$16.47
06-15 00:07Will Santander fail by June 30, 2026?BUY0.99$792.00
06-12 02:09Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026?BUY0.992$16.47
06-12 01:53Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026?BUY0.992$16.47
06-12 01:53Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?BUY0.992$198.50