UH9xRmfjOljDcRJuvxEr5
0x2969f9717b0575333c15f673e870a9643c572a69
- Realised P&L
- $-170.29
- Volume
- $13.2k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $101.42
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$570.85at 0.068Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$38.58at 0.170Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$34.89at 0.235US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
- +$13.29at 0.070Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
- +$7.20at 0.410Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 22:31 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.1799999994 | $215.00 |
| 05-14 22:30 | Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President? | BUY | 0.0846149869 | $5.00 |
| 05-14 22:30 | Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? | BUY | 0.0442456341 | $20.00 |
| 05-14 22:28 | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 05-14 22:26 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999889 | $13.00 |
| 05-14 22:26 | KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 05-14 22:25 | Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President? | BUY | 0.0596579431 | $3.00 |
| 05-14 22:25 | Iran nuclear test before 2027? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 05-14 22:25 | Kurds declare independence from Iran? | BUY | 0.0575369453 | $10.00 |
| 05-14 22:24 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 05-14 22:23 | Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? | BUY | 0.0439340947 | $10.00 |
| 04-18 22:47 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY | 0.0389999815 | $2.00 |
| 04-18 22:05 | Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 04-18 22:04 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | BUY | 0.1669998874 | $1.00 |
| 04-18 13:06 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |