Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 100 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.10. down 0.03 over the period, from 0.13. Range 0.10 to 0.13. 155 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.10	5,148	5,148
0.11	8,840	13,988
0.12	3,449	17,437
0.13	3,342	20,779
0.14	1,188	21,967
0.15	1,929	23,896
0.16	1,761	25,657
0.17	3,259	28,917
0.18	1,794	30,711
0.19	2,805	33,516
0.20	3,375	36,891
0.21	1,760	38,651

Spread0.01Mid0.10

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.09	9,213	9,213
0.08	13,280	22,493
0.07	11,847	34,340
0.06	13,465	47,805
0.05	9,054	56,859
0.04	10,282	67,141
0.03	24,073	91,214
0.02	69,604	160,818
0.01	63,121	223,938

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.91	9,213	9,213
0.92	13,280	22,493
0.93	11,847	34,340
0.94	13,465	47,805
0.95	9,054	56,859
0.96	10,282	67,141
0.97	24,073	91,214
0.98	69,604	160,818
0.99	63,121	223,938

Spread0.01Mid0.91

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.90	5,148	5,148
0.89	8,840	13,988
0.88	3,449	17,437
0.87	3,342	20,779
0.86	1,188	21,967
0.85	1,929	23,896
0.84	1,761	25,657
0.83	3,259	28,917
0.82	1,794	30,711
0.81	2,805	33,516
0.80	3,375	36,891
0.79	1,760	38,651

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794	Yes	52,640.07
eeelliot	Yes	49,000.02
aenews2	Yes	28,947.1
0x212811d8f025d0C927D52c540b5E8f01F73560eE-1771315524247	Yes	18,353.78
wan123	Yes	14,276.77
0x3140c81075aa367aaaC40F97Cfc0EE9fED74b176-1764718464081	Yes	11,191.79
AlexCimmeria	Yes	10,126.01
vk7	Yes	9,999.95
0xB2ef99AECb61EB4E2aCD712DF9388a3eA03627dd-1771506956297	Yes	9,025.53
KnureKnume	Yes	9,000.49
fedparodi	Yes	8,811.76
tiger555	Yes	7,067.08
0x32629f699EC7340781823E91399783d89A352D1d-1760749572026	Yes	6,956.3
LinaBell	Yes	5,782.42
PepsiWarrior	Yes	4,201.08
davtas	Yes	4,166.67
troim	Yes	4,000
Blase3	Yes	3,632.58
0x57c8b3BDb61EAB3f6adfc0551224a75Ce6632ec4-1776303995660	Yes	3,561.62
tiger5510	Yes	3,155.76

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
21:02:32	SELL	Yes	0.09	208	$18.69
18:38:44	SELL	No	0.9	1	$0.99
17:57:24	BUY	No	0.91	1	$1.00
17:57:23	SELL	No	0.9	2	$1.97
17:51:09	SELL	Yes	0.09	52	$4.70
16:13:44	SELL	Yes	0.09	9	$0.78
15:18:27	BUY	No	0.91	1	$1.00
15:18:26	BUY	No	0.91	1	$1.00
15:18:24	SELL	No	0.9	3	$2.43
11:00:05	SELL	No	0.9	21	$19.33
08:40:23	SELL	Yes	0.09	182	$16.36
06:13:11	BUY	No	0.91	110	$100.00
06:05:50	BUY	No	0.9099999994	33	$30.00
04:19:23	BUY	No	0.91	1	$1.00
04:19:21	BUY	Yes	0.1	10	$1.00
18:57:50	BUY	No	0.91	5	$5.00
17:38:23	BUY	No	0.91	2	$2.00
17:38:21	BUY	No	0.91	2	$2.00
17:38:21	SELL	No	0.9	3	$2.30
17:38:17	SELL	Yes	0.09	9	$0.78
15:58:26	SELL	Yes	0.09	8	$0.72
11:52:36	SELL	Yes	0.09	192	$17.31
09:01:32	BUY	No	0.91	5	$5.00
09:01:29	BUY	No	0.91	11	$10.00
09:01:29	BUY	No	0.91	5	$5.00