itsjustcheddar
0x2a315a8d15cfde768bcd47ba5cacf3ef5894f2f0
- Realised P&L
- $12.2k
- Volume
- $2.74M
- Markets traded
- 14,833
- Open portfolio
- $4.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14,833
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.2kat 0.091Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 29?
- +$2.4kat 0.013Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
- +$1.5kat 0.707Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
- +$1.2kat 0.690Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
- +$1.1kat 0.312Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 15:32 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%? | BUY | 0.479 | $38.32 |
| 08-02 15:32 | Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.018 | $1.44 |
| 08-02 15:32 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%? | BUY | 0.193 | $15.05 |
| 08-02 15:32 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%? | BUY | 0.06 | $4.80 |
| 08-02 15:32 | Will Count Binface win the 2026 Clacton by-election by any margin? | BUY | 0.04 | $3.20 |
| 08-02 15:32 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more? | BUY | 0.15 | $12.00 |
| 08-02 12:09 | Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in August 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 08-02 12:09 | Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in August 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $2.70 |
| 08-02 12:09 | Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in August 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 08-02 12:09 | Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 01:58 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%? | BUY | 0.081 | $8.91 |
| 08-02 01:58 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%? | BUY | 0.372 | $40.92 |
| 08-02 01:58 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%? | BUY | 0.1038058178 | $11.88 |
| 08-02 01:58 | Will Count Binface win the 2026 Clacton by-election by any margin? | BUY | 0.026483693 | $2.97 |
| 08-02 01:58 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more? | BUY | 0.24 | $26.40 |