PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

scout

0x2d99e29c4f066ba32098c65e4c7454b277d94ca3

Realised P&L
$244.9k
Volume
$49.56M
Markets traded
911
Open portfolio
$356.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded911
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration86.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · Yes0.9961.000$160.6k+$529.89
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8290.795$103.3k$4.4k
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · No0.9921.000$20.0k+$157.74
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.9940.998$19.7k+$75.89
Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31? · No0.9961.000$17.3k+$56.50
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.5120.540$10.8k+$567.85
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? · Yes0.9981.000$10.0k+$15.00
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · Yes0.7000.725$7.3k+$250.00
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? · No0.9410.964$3.2k+$77.08
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? · No0.9571.000$3.0k+$126.51
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.8900.915$914.99+$25.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 19:39Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.996$8.1k
08-02 18:30Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.996$5.5k
08-02 05:05Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?BUY0.998$10.0k
08-02 04:46Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9566369577$52.70
07-31 22:02Iran leadership change by July 31?BUY0.998$4.3k
07-31 21:14Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.9953195192$425.58
07-31 20:52Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?BUY0.9949743994$17.3k
07-31 19:31U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.990227256$9.9k
07-31 18:57Iran leadership change by July 31?BUY0.999$11.0k
07-31 18:46Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.997$1.4k
07-31 16:55Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.9956666667$298.70
07-31 16:50Netanyahu out by July 31?BUY0.999$38.6k
07-31 16:40Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.999$2.5k
07-31 16:40Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?BUY0.999$26.6k
07-31 16:33Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.999$40.2k