KELBI
0x2df50477e68a95a28ff76233e8f770b9dd6557c8
- Realised P&L
- $250.46
- Volume
- $29.1k
- Markets traded
- 268
- Open portfolio
- $42.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded268
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$267.63at 0.244Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?
- +$126.46at 0.720Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
- +$71.35at 0.411Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?
- +$47.37at 0.459Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?
- +$37.66at 0.330Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 08:49 | Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? | BUY | 0.45 | $3.60 |
| 08-03 07:01 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? | BUY | 0.86 | $12.04 |
| 08-02 16:22 | Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? | BUY | 0.26 | $3.90 |
| 08-02 08:54 | Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | SELL | 0.0102618658 | $0.06 |
| 08-02 08:48 | Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | BUY | 0.04 | $2.40 |
| 08-02 07:37 | Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | SELL | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 08-02 03:45 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | SELL | 0.34 | $14.33 |
| 08-01 10:00 | Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.52 |
| 08-01 05:17 | Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.66 |
| 08-01 05:13 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | SELL | 0.12 | $7.73 |
| 08-01 05:13 | Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.19 |
| 08-01 03:08 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | SELL | 0.36 | $3.96 |
| 08-01 00:02 | Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | BUY | 0.056 | $2.18 |
| 07-31 11:26 | Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | SELL | 0.19 | $2.66 |
| 07-31 06:05 | Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.96 |