PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

KELBI

0x2df50477e68a95a28ff76233e8f770b9dd6557c8

Realised P&L
$250.46
Volume
$29.1k
Markets traded
268
Open portfolio
$42.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded268
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? · No0.8600.870$12.18+$0.14
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.2020.180$9.59$1.19
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · No0.5600.550$8.25$0.15
Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? · Yes0.2600.295$4.42+$0.52
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? · Yes0.4500.435$3.48$0.12
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? · No0.1930.013$3.02$40.02
Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? · Yes0.0560.014$1.82$5.47
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? · Yes0.0560.001$0.02$2.16
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19? · Yes0.1020.000$0.00$4.40
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28? · Yes0.4550.000$0.00$25.64
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$5.00
Will Meta (META) finish week of April 20 above $670? · No0.4200.000$0.00$3.60
Will Meta (META) finish week of April 20 above $640? · No0.1200.000$0.00$7.50
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of April 20 above $90? · No0.1130.000$0.00$4.76
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of April 20 above $143? · No0.3800.000$0.00$2.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 08:49Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?BUY0.45$3.60
08-03 07:01Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?BUY0.86$12.04
08-02 16:22Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?BUY0.26$3.90
08-02 08:54Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?SELL0.0102618658$0.06
08-02 08:48Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?BUY0.04$2.40
08-02 07:37Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?SELL0.91$9.10
08-02 03:45Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?SELL0.34$14.33
08-01 10:00Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?BUY0.12$2.52
08-01 05:17Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?SELL0.11$0.66
08-01 05:13Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?SELL0.12$7.73
08-01 05:13Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?SELL0.01$0.19
08-01 03:08Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?SELL0.36$3.96
08-01 00:02Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?BUY0.056$2.18
07-31 11:26Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?SELL0.19$2.66
07-31 06:05Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?BUY0.14$1.96