PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Orion96

0x3069c1002bd0bb6aec054c7a27722919df95f8ef

Realised P&L
$34.4k
Volume
$1.65M
Markets traded
652
Open portfolio
$34.3k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded652
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.6370.910$7.4k+$2.2k
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · No0.6260.495$6.9k$1.8k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8770.875$6.4k$18.69
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? · Yes0.5650.460$2.7k$605.47
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No0.8440.925$2.4k+$210.62
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? · No0.8370.919$1.4k+$122.66
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? · Yes0.9100.991$979.46+$79.46
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? · Yes0.9000.973$972.50+$72.50
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.4000.415$674.37+$24.39
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5600.605$604.99+$45.00
5kt meteor strike in 2026? · No0.4790.725$397.58+$134.62
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.6800.775$387.49+$47.50
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? · Yes0.7400.745$372.50+$2.50
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.2850.565$354.38+$175.38
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.7000.230$328.57$671.43

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 07:54Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.86$800.62
07-27 21:44Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?BUY0.4681305626$234.06
07-24 08:44Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?SELL0.413200064$206.60
07-24 08:43Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?BUY0.4723618472$236.18
07-24 08:43Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?BUY0.6080317101$2.0k
07-24 08:42Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?BUY0.5679657593$800.00
07-24 08:42Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.88$1.3k
07-24 08:40Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.87$2.3k
07-24 08:392026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseSELL0.85$1.8k
07-24 08:37Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?BUY0.669999999$160.00
07-23 19:49Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?BUY0.7704720005$450.00
07-23 13:36Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?BUY0.7292318757$1.5k
07-23 13:34Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?BUY0.8067342912$5.0k
07-23 12:58Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.988$2.8k
07-23 01:47Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?SELL0.4237163224$110.56