Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 0 min size · 0¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.46. down 0.08 over the period, from 0.54. Range 0.21 to 0.55. 140 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.48	15	15
0.49	362	377
0.50	604	981
0.51	1,431	2,412
0.52	1,760	4,171
0.53	1,003	5,175
0.54	1,284	6,459
0.55	809	7,268
0.56	939	8,208
0.57	55	8,263
0.58	20	8,283
0.59	1,090	9,373

Spread0.04Mid0.46

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.44	12	12
0.43	32	44
0.42	102	146
0.41	240	386
0.40	200	586
0.39	140	726
0.38	200	926
0.28	5	931
0.20	50	981
0.16	2,210	3,191
0.15	560	3,751
0.14	800	4,551

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.56	12	12
0.57	32	44
0.58	102	146
0.59	240	386
0.60	200	586
0.61	140	726
0.62	200	926
0.72	5	931
0.80	50	981
0.84	2,210	3,191
0.85	560	3,751
0.86	800	4,551

Spread0.04Mid0.54

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.52	15	15
0.51	362	377
0.50	604	981
0.49	1,431	2,412
0.48	1,760	4,171
0.47	1,003	5,175
0.46	1,284	6,459
0.45	809	7,268
0.44	939	8,208
0.43	55	8,263
0.42	20	8,283
0.41	1,090	9,373

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
gopfan2	Yes	91,697.48
troim	Yes	9,000.08
Orion96	Yes	5,766.45
Miojinho	Yes	4,999.99
0x955c…990f	Yes	4,000
GollumGekko	Yes	2,239.91
GrokEnjoyer	Yes	1,953
Zbinik	Yes	1,915.79
Giannis2026	Yes	1,799.99
cocococococo	Yes	1,746.7
87879809837209837982	Yes	1,678.2
polmark001	Yes	1,602.55
zugzwaaang	Yes	1,579
newfeeling02	Yes	1,176.71
WongKimArk	Yes	1,120.01
donthackme	Yes	1,097.98
RememberAmalek	Yes	1,005.99
varch01	Yes	1,000
0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080	Yes	998.69
GingerPhil	Yes	844.23

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
07:09:59	BUY	Yes	0.48	20	$9.60
19:57:14	SELL	No	0.52	10	$5.20
16:52:36	BUY	Yes	0.4794645642	94	$45.00
15:11:03	SELL	No	0.54	2	$1.10
12:42:54	BUY	Yes	0.4525758197	22	$10.00
09:24:38	BUY	No	0.5599999973	102	$57.21
04:46:08	SELL	Yes	0.43	4	$1.63
22:21:06	SELL	Yes	0.43	20	$8.43
19:44:27	SELL	No	0.56	4	$2.26
18:49:17	SELL	No	0.55	1	$0.41
16:42:54	SELL	No	0.57	5	$2.85
15:59:50	SELL	Yes	0.42	6	$2.38
15:45:05	BUY	No	0.58	2	$1.21
15:28:53	SELL	No	0.56	32	$17.92
15:26:54	SELL	Yes	0.42	9	$3.75
15:17:03	BUY	Yes	0.4399999975	114	$50.00
14:57:45	SELL	No	0.57	33	$18.80
14:57:24	BUY	Yes	0.4299999871	12	$5.00
14:31:56	BUY	Yes	0.4299999706	14	$6.00
13:31:39	SELL	No	0.6355357143	11	$7.12
12:50:18	BUY	Yes	0.4299999261	4	$1.63
12:47:48	SELL	Yes	0.17	10	$1.70
12:45:38	BUY	Yes	0.19	9	$1.70
12:45:36	BUY	No	0.8	41	$32.86
12:45:36	BUY	No	0.8	50	$40.00