0x3140c81075aa367aaaC40F97Cfc0EE9fED74b176-1764718464081
0x3140c81075aa367aaac40f97cfc0ee9fed74b176
- Realised P&L
- $-11.5k
- Volume
- $632.9k
- Markets traded
- 590
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded590
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.1kat 0.710Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
- +$3.9kat 0.700Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
- +$1.5kat 0.491Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
- +$1.4kat 0.540Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score
- +$1.2kat 0.704Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 03:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET | BUY | 0.0876470963 | $48.09 |
| 07-29 03:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET | BUY | 0.0721139205 | $51.91 |
| 07-19 21:56 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.075 | $9.00 |
| 07-19 21:55 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 21:55 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0739999966 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 21:55 | Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.1299999929 | $15.00 |
| 07-12 00:25 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5675 | $3.4k |
| 07-12 00:23 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.0339353903 | $1.0k |
| 07-12 00:23 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.036 | $75.69 |
| 07-12 00:23 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.036 | $13.22 |
| 07-12 00:23 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.036 | $124.27 |
| 07-12 00:23 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.0633320981 | $2.1k |
| 07-11 23:16 | Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | SELL | 0.1322785327 | $271.87 |
| 07-11 23:02 | Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.5838635935 | $1.2k |
| 07-11 22:58 | Will Norway vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8566917541 | $1000.00 |