Eylonir
0x3346c255f92b5a0bdfc40fb9d15b5bdb322a00f5
- Realised P&L
- $-82.21
- Volume
- $123.6k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $601.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? · Yes | 0.366 | 0.205 | $355.29 | −$278.70 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? · Yes | 0.271 | 0.140 | $162.12 | −$151.42 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · Yes | 0.093 | 0.044 | $83.38 | −$92.21 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.001 | $0.70 | −$23.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET · Up | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.55 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET · Up | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET · Up | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$426.32at 0.190US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
- +$359.95at 0.340Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
- +$300.00at 0.250US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?
- +$284.00at 0.290US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
- +$252.16at 0.403US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 06:07 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | SELL | 0.027 | $2.08 |
| 08-01 15:46 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $7.60 |
| 08-01 15:17 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $48.00 |
| 08-01 15:02 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | BUY | 0.39 | $156.00 |
| 08-01 14:12 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | BUY | 0.39 | $156.00 |
| 07-30 14:44 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | BUY | 0.31 | $16.69 |
| 07-30 11:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $25.00 |
| 07-30 11:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 07-30 10:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 18:52 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.65 |
| 07-29 18:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.0299999943 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 18:40 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $3.16 |
| 07-29 18:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | BUY | 0.0299999943 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 18:24 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | BUY | 0.38 | $24.70 |
| 07-29 18:21 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | BUY | 0.38 | $83.82 |