shaoqi767
0x3750ad9b4033b972f775b671d26cc2f0bd17cbdd
- Realised P&L
- $-16.8k
- Volume
- $821.5k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $10.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.011 | $9.0k | −$17.0k |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.501 | 0.425 | $551.27 | −$98.73 |
| US recession by end of 2026? · No | 0.900 | 0.905 | $301.67 | +$1.67 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.585 | $234.00 | +$34.00 |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.060 | $69.87 | −$30.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$349.72at 0.734Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$-26.07at 0.011Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 14:42 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0260038146 | $25.90 |
| 07-30 14:41 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.024 | $18.32 |
| 07-30 14:41 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.024 | $7.20 |
| 07-30 11:02 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0398263337 | $458.65 |
| 07-30 10:40 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.036 | $19.35 |
| 07-23 16:58 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.5 | $200.00 |
| 07-23 16:58 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.0095667428 | $173.94 |
| 07-23 16:54 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8999999976 | $300.00 |
| 07-23 16:54 | Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | BUY | 0.0858793369 | $100.00 |
| 07-23 16:54 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.011 | $200.00 |
| 07-23 16:53 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7399999998 | $200.00 |
| 07-23 16:53 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4899999997 | $400.00 |
| 07-23 16:53 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0403723022 | $500.00 |
| 07-23 16:00 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5199999998 | $250.00 |
| 07-23 15:59 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0372212715 | $150.00 |