sweetj
0x39a5f94e851642404751cc5310edaa180eac87f2
- Realised P&L
- $7.8k
- Volume
- $2.23M
- Markets traded
- 3,144
- Open portfolio
- $72.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,144
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration46.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.4kat 0.039Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
- +$4.2kat 0.071Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.6kat 0.544Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.6kat 0.862Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
- +$2.1kat 0.757Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:23 | Will Caitlin Clark win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | BUY | 0.8978144268 | $30.00 |
| 08-02 20:04 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat? | BUY | 0.65 | $10.97 |
| 08-02 20:03 | Will Yordan Alvarez hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | BUY | 0.55 | $80.50 |
| 08-02 20:03 | Will Yordan Alvarez hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | SELL | 0.45 | $111.24 |
| 08-02 19:00 | Will the Republican Party win the WI-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.62 | $15.50 |
| 08-02 18:03 | Will Barrett Pfeiffer win Big Brother season 28? | BUY | 0.89 | $2.8k |
| 08-02 18:01 | Will Nasim Nuñez lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season? | SELL | 0.3116 | $38.95 |
| 08-02 18:00 | Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $5.40 |
| 08-02 16:41 | Will Barrett Pfeiffer win Big Brother season 28? | BUY | 0.88 | $144.94 |
| 08-02 16:40 | Will Jordan Herrera be the MO-04 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.758 | $24.42 |
| 08-02 16:27 | Will Melissa Chaudhry advance to the general election for WA-09? | SELL | 0.0477539303 | $1.40 |
| 08-02 16:07 | Will Caitlin Clark win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | BUY | 0.885 | $165.66 |
| 08-02 15:42 | Will the Democratic Party win the PA-17 House seat? | BUY | 0.879 | $43.95 |
| 08-02 15:27 | Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee? | BUY | 0.31 | $188.22 |
| 08-02 15:15 | Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.035 | $15.53 |