PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ascj2413

0x3b5a8d269c3570876d932f1cdf6047ae503c5651

Realised P&L
$2.43
Volume
$420.83
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$12.36

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration42.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.9950.996$4.98+$0.01
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? · Yes0.1900.675$3.38+$2.42
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.6200.545$2.73$0.38
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? · Yes0.1200.235$1.17+$0.57
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? · Yes0.0570.021$0.11$0.18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET · Up0.0500.000$0.00$0.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-28 03:18Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.62$3.10
05-28 03:18Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.995$4.97
02-07 12:01Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?SELL0.012$1.40
02-07 11:57Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?BUY0.0129999917$1.52
02-07 11:46Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?SELL0.021$1.52
02-07 11:46Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?BUY0.0220000001$1.59
02-07 11:42Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?SELL0.98$0.99
02-07 11:37Will Darius Garland lead the NBA in Assists?BUY0.996$1.00
02-07 11:37Will Trae Young lead the NBA in Assists?BUY0.849999915$1.00
02-07 11:36Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2025 President’s Trophy?BUY0.997$1.00
02-07 11:35Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2025 President’s Trophy?BUY0.997$1.00
02-07 11:35Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025 President’s Trophy?BUY0.996$1.00
02-07 11:35Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?BUY0.919993928$1.00
02-07 11:35Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?BUY0.919999448$1.00
02-07 11:34Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?BUY0.9789999883$1.00