phdcapital
0x3b7ed1242417f4b8f6992b5dd53aa9415a2c23eb
- Realised P&L
- $88.5k
- Volume
- $1.33M
- Markets traded
- 363
- Open portfolio
- $158.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded363
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.7kat 0.718Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?
- +$1.7kat 0.886Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?
- +$1.7kat 0.660Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
- +$1.6kat 0.835Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?
- +$1.4kat 0.855Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-01 19:28 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $200 in June? | BUY | 0.6129555896 | $400.26 |
| 06-01 19:28 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $205 in June? | BUY | 0.6540513552 | $458.49 |
| 06-01 19:27 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 in June? | BUY | 0.7266820276 | $473.07 |
| 06-01 19:27 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $215 in June? | BUY | 0.775483871 | $721.20 |
| 06-01 19:20 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.81 | $807.20 |
| 06-01 18:58 | Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.974 | $39.06 |
| 06-01 18:53 | Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $80.69 |
| 06-01 18:47 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.6k |
| 06-01 18:47 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $18.00 |
| 05-26 01:54 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May? | BUY | 0.969 | $145.35 |
| 05-26 01:45 | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $814.08 |
| 04-12 00:36 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.7k |
| 01-30 08:42 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.93 | $6.4k |
| 01-11 15:01 | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.955 | $6.0k |
| 01-11 15:00 | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.955 | $1.0k |