PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ev1710

0x3c4f0a0dec4b0c76a7e90e2458b8216a773f831e

Realised P&L
$14.8k
Volume
$498.8k
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$27.9k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.7490.999$6.0k+$1.5k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · Yes0.8921.000$5.9k+$635.19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7500.795$5.6k+$314.64
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? · No0.6741.000$5.2k+$1.7k
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.5710.535$2.0k$135.86
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5000.620$1.9k+$360.00
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? · Yes0.7420.600$1.4k$333.78
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · No0.4090.001$3.05$2.5k
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · Yes0.8700.001$1.98$3.4k
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026? · No0.5370.000$0.00$5.8k
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? · Yes0.9230.000$0.00$6.0k
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5) · Team Falcons0.6570.000$0.00$1000.00
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00$656.73
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026? · No0.2640.000$0.00$250.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 05:54US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.5714671816$2.1k
08-01 19:30Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.6992218709$2.0k
08-01 17:26Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.442671093$1000.00
08-01 15:33Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.7938120446$2.5k
08-01 14:59Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.3457710811$500.00
08-01 14:22Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.4161205477$1000.00
08-01 14:06Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?BUY0.6739078728$3.5k
07-30 15:04Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.75$5.2k
07-30 14:58U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.8826697191$400.00
07-30 14:50U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.8628019033$1.3k
07-30 14:48Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?SELL0.9883795133$8.7k
07-29 21:44Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?BUY0.8922802064$5.3k
07-20 14:31Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?BUY0.2456244291$50.00
07-20 13:53Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?BUY0.2692286669$200.00
07-19 19:15Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.6$202.30