ev1710
0x3c4f0a0dec4b0c76a7e90e2458b8216a773f831e
- Realised P&L
- $14.8k
- Volume
- $498.8k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $27.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.3kat 0.324MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$4.7kat 0.770US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$4.4kat 0.757Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
- +$4.1kat 0.779Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$3.4kat 0.478Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 05:54 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.5714671816 | $2.1k |
| 08-01 19:30 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.6992218709 | $2.0k |
| 08-01 17:26 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.442671093 | $1000.00 |
| 08-01 15:33 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.7938120446 | $2.5k |
| 08-01 14:59 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3457710811 | $500.00 |
| 08-01 14:22 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4161205477 | $1000.00 |
| 08-01 14:06 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6739078728 | $3.5k |
| 07-30 15:04 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.75 | $5.2k |
| 07-30 14:58 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.8826697191 | $400.00 |
| 07-30 14:50 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.8628019033 | $1.3k |
| 07-30 14:48 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | SELL | 0.9883795133 | $8.7k |
| 07-29 21:44 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.8922802064 | $5.3k |
| 07-20 14:31 | Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2456244291 | $50.00 |
| 07-20 13:53 | Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2692286669 | $200.00 |
| 07-19 19:15 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6 | $202.30 |