PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

eightpenguins

0x3c593aeb73ebdadbc9ce76d4264a6a2af4011766

Realised P&L
$354.8k
Volume
$6.63M
Markets traded
616
Open portfolio
$102.8k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded616
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7100.795$21.5k+$2.3k
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4100.405$19.5k$241.01
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.7780.998$15.8k+$3.5k
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes0.5690.585$12.0k+$323.58
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · No0.7390.880$6.2k+$996.87
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? · No0.6731.000$4.2k+$1.4k
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.1020.540$3.2k+$2.6k
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2900.345$3.0k+$476.38
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.5040.230$2.6k$3.1k
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4400.445$2.5k+$27.77
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.9771.000$2.3k+$52.86
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.5210.625$1.5k+$248.92
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.5710.805$1.3k+$389.06
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · Yes0.3500.220$1.3k$780.62
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · Yes0.3390.275$857.80$199.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 17:58Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.41$19.8k
08-02 15:00IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?BUY0.27$132.84
08-02 14:28US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.53$669.13
08-02 14:28US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.52$3.17
08-02 02:42Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?BUY0.1855282005$4.14
08-02 02:38IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?BUY0.28$572.60
08-02 02:38IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?BUY0.1999829324$834.26
08-02 02:38IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?BUY0.0284465043$63.71
08-02 02:37US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.6267658006$2.1k
08-01 23:41Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.8$8.3k
08-01 20:50Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.7$166.45
08-01 18:48Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?SELL0.8154831132$4.5k
08-01 18:43Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.34$355.34
08-01 18:42Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.33$705.96
08-01 17:14Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?SELL0.83$52.02