PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

musa77

0x3dda0231151cae91a9f3561f947b6fa007218799

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$240.6k
Markets traded
278
Open portfolio
$12.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded278
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6020.655$12.2k+$987.29
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.7160.365$139.21$133.95
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$1.1k
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-04-04? · No0.6900.000$0.00$20.00
Will FC Porto vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw? · No0.7400.000$0.00$19.84
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$12.00
Will Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw? · No0.7000.000$0.00$29.73
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3130.000$0.00$1.6k
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-04? · No0.6900.000$0.00$19.81
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-04-05? · No0.4040.000$0.00$10.00
Will CA Barracas Central vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw? · No0.6400.000$0.00$29.68
Will FC Lorient vs. Paris FC end in a draw? · No0.6800.000$0.00$30.00
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-04? · No0.7000.000$0.00$20.00
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-04? · No0.7100.000$0.00$20.00
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-04? · No0.7000.000$0.00$19.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 19:35Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.61$3.9k
07-19 19:33Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.58767166$1.8k
07-19 19:33Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.4010718664$2.0k
07-11 22:53Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.7399999963$150.00
07-11 22:51Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.374648358$143.51
07-06 02:05Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.61$2.0k
07-05 12:15Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.770905826$1.9k
07-03 22:26Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.001$3.00
07-03 21:41Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6194699333$1.9k
07-03 21:23Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.7772188572$1.8k
07-03 00:56Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.61$18.30
07-02 00:30Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.065$535.60
07-01 23:35Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.358$358.00
07-01 23:35Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.182$182.00
07-01 23:33Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.03$90.00