0x40eb64E03E1Ba81E1e690e768e3E48CE91F53F31-1769469649828
0x40eb64e03e1ba81e1e690e768e3e48ce91f53f31
- Realised P&L
- $-11.8k
- Volume
- $367.0k
- Markets traded
- 363
- Open portfolio
- $526.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded363
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.3kat 0.184US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
- +$801.02at 0.175US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
- +$444.45at 0.360US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$331.78at 0.070Bitcoin Up or Down on February 12?
- +$170.88at 0.170Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 19:58 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0569999987 | $40.00 |
| 06-27 19:57 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.04 | $70.00 |
| 06-27 19:54 | Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.1699999967 | $35.00 |
| 06-22 20:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.3901316207 | $100.00 |
| 06-22 20:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.3399999946 | $25.00 |
| 06-22 20:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | SELL | 0.57 | $116.13 |
| 06-22 20:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4908322355 | $100.00 |
| 06-22 20:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.6099999988 | $25.00 |
| 06-22 20:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 06-22 20:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | SELL | 0.82 | $48.81 |
| 06-22 20:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.419999994 | $25.00 |
| 06-22 20:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $25.00 |
| 06-22 20:13 | Spread: France (-3.5) | BUY | 0.369999998 | $100.00 |
| 06-16 13:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | SELL | 0.26 | $7.65 |
| 06-16 13:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |