PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x40fe57965a53d6efde2C678b8B442bB76c3a3bFd-1760950579476

0x40fe57965a53d6efde2c678b8b442bb76c3a3bfd

Realised P&L
$-4.0k
Volume
$378.4k
Markets traded
417
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded417
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 16:26Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.2999999925$20.00
08-02 16:03Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.7199999741$20.00
08-02 15:57Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5899999947$10.00
08-02 15:56Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.149999976$5.00
08-02 15:55Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1299999789$5.00
08-02 15:54Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1399999787$5.00
08-02 15:54Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.149999976$5.00
08-02 15:43Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1399999787$5.00
08-02 15:43Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1299999789$5.00
08-02 15:42Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1199999899$10.00
08-02 15:38Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?BUY0.5199999952$35.00
08-01 16:51Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.8799999983$500.00
08-01 07:41Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.16$5.00
08-01 07:40Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.16$5.00
08-01 07:38Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.15$15.00