PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

poorersob

0x45bc74efa620b45c02308acaecdff1f7c06f978b

Realised P&L
$360.2k
Volume
$55.97M
Markets traded
8,360
Open portfolio
$86.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded8,360
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? · No0.9991.000$25.3k+$12.66
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? · No0.9981.000$15.0k+$19.52
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · No0.9961.000$7.0k+$22.74
Trump out as President by August 31? · No0.9880.991$6.5k+$14.97
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August? · No0.9860.990$5.9k+$18.84
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.915$5.5k+$30.01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8590.945$4.8k+$442.90
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.9991.000$4.1k+$2.25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9730.981$3.6k+$29.19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7500.795$3.0k+$167.89
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · Yes0.9961.000$1.0k+$4.03
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? · No0.9860.990$990.00+$4.00
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? · No0.9600.955$955.00$5.00
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? · No0.9810.983$884.68+$1.80
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5400.755$754.98+$215.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 21:59Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETBUY0.1540446667$23.11
08-02 21:59Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETBUY0.19$19.00
08-02 15:53Trump out as President by August 31?BUY0.987$1.5k
08-02 07:35Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETBUY0.72$71.28
08-02 07:29Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETBUY0.04$5.20
08-02 07:10Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETBUY0.7668878788$75.92
08-02 05:55Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETBUY0.65$64.35
08-02 05:41Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETBUY0.74$51.80
08-02 05:30Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETBUY0.6803171717$67.35
08-02 04:49Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETBUY0.06$1.28
08-02 04:45Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETBUY0.73$72.27
08-01 19:03Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?BUY0.999$3.0k
08-01 19:02Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?BUY0.999$11.6k
08-01 18:23Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?BUY0.999$99.90
08-01 18:14Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?BUY0.999$221.78