PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

merch

0x45e856f0023259664606b6c370e82d072b24cc6c

Realised P&L
$2.8k
Volume
$320.2k
Markets traded
294
Open portfolio
$6.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded294
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 01:54Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.64$192.00
07-20 02:19Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?SELL0.88$792.00
07-20 02:19Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.69$1.1k
07-05 15:08Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?BUY0.84$145.32
07-05 15:07Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?BUY0.8272972973$30.61
06-28 14:38Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?SELL0.991$594.60
06-28 14:26Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?BUY0.98$294.00
06-28 14:26Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?BUY0.9795945$293.88
06-28 14:25Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?BUY0.967$462.23
06-28 14:25Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?BUY0.968$59.05
06-28 14:24Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?BUY0.97$317.19
06-28 14:24Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?BUY0.96$38.40
06-28 14:23Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?BUY0.97$291.00
06-28 14:22Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?BUY0.97$291.00
06-28 14:21Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?BUY0.95$44.99