merch
0x45e856f0023259664606b6c370e82d072b24cc6c
- Realised P&L
- $2.8k
- Volume
- $320.2k
- Markets traded
- 294
- Open portfolio
- $6.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded294
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.352Will Trump pick Kash Patel for Director of the FBI?
- +$948.81at 0.585Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
- +$680.25at 0.824Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?
- +$575.07at 0.814Will Kash Patel be Trump's FBI director?
- +$504.38at 0.560Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 01:54 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.64 | $192.00 |
| 07-20 02:19 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $792.00 |
| 07-20 02:19 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.69 | $1.1k |
| 07-05 15:08 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.84 | $145.32 |
| 07-05 15:07 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.8272972973 | $30.61 |
| 06-28 14:38 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.991 | $594.60 |
| 06-28 14:26 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.98 | $294.00 |
| 06-28 14:26 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.9795945 | $293.88 |
| 06-28 14:25 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.967 | $462.23 |
| 06-28 14:25 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.968 | $59.05 |
| 06-28 14:24 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.97 | $317.19 |
| 06-28 14:24 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.96 | $38.40 |
| 06-28 14:23 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.97 | $291.00 |
| 06-28 14:22 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.97 | $291.00 |
| 06-28 14:21 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.95 | $44.99 |