20faj2
0x4658515faa6bddcba47129450ed4766831444131
- Realised P&L
- $-3.3k
- Volume
- $5.43M
- Markets traded
- 3,753
- Open portfolio
- $11.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,753
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.0kat 0.160Cavaliers vs. Pistons
- +$13.3kat 0.017Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$11.7kat 0.610Pistons vs. Cavaliers
- +$10.4kat 0.270Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
- +$10.1kat 0.033Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 17:01 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.56 | $2.0k |
| 07-26 01:56 | Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-07-25? | BUY | 0.59 | $750.00 |
| 07-26 01:53 | Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.84 | $450.00 |
| 07-25 23:00 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25? | BUY | 0.52 | $750.00 |
| 07-25 22:35 | Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-25? | BUY | 0.61 | $750.00 |
| 07-25 22:35 | Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-25? | BUY | 0.61 | $737.90 |
| 07-25 13:31 | New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.61 | $500.00 |
| 07-25 12:31 | Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.28 | $337.50 |
| 07-25 12:31 | Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.4977185185 | $335.96 |
| 07-25 12:31 | Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.69 | $271.17 |
| 07-22 16:42 | Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-07-22? | BUY | 0.54 | $750.00 |
| 07-21 22:26 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $16.20 |
| 07-21 10:43 | Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong | BUY | 0.51 | $445.42 |
| 07-21 09:08 | Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-07-21? | BUY | 0.5 | $490.19 |
| 07-20 10:16 | Livesport Prague Open: Eva Lys vs Tereza Valentova | BUY | 0.51 | $85.04 |