FastFormula1
0x483a456d9218a8b48d98b34730fd9bedd6c58832
- Realised P&L
- $-775.70
- Volume
- $67.7k
- Markets traded
- 622
- Open portfolio
- $548.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded622
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$375.54at 0.337U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?
- +$257.58at 0.877Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
- +$232.37at 0.078Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
- +$168.00at 0.880Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$156.84at 0.412Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 22:59 | Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.9679999992 | $500.00 |
| 05-16 22:16 | Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.2549999828 | $10.00 |
| 05-16 22:16 | Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.219999985 | $10.00 |
| 05-16 21:10 | Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $3.00 |
| 05-14 14:07 | Starmer out by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999907 | $20.00 |
| 05-13 19:58 | Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999956 | $25.00 |
| 04-29 21:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 04-29 21:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $0.52 |
| 04-29 21:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999087 | $1.02 |
| 04-29 21:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $1.47 |
| 04-29 21:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $1.08 |
| 04-29 21:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 04-29 21:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.04 |
| 04-29 21:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $1.08 |
| 04-29 21:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $1.08 |