PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-12-31

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.011. down 0.001 over the period, from 0.011. Range 0.009 to 0.014. 160 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0151,4711,471
0.0192881,759
0.0203782,137
0.0301002,237
0.0391012,338
0.0401002,438
0.0501002,538
0.099102,548
0.1001222,670
0.11092,680
0.120162,696
0.13082,704

Spread0.009Mid0.010

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.006100100
0.005376476
0.004400876
0.0032001,076
0.0022,2283,304
0.00110,45413,758

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.994100100
0.995376476
0.996400876
0.9972001,076
0.9982,2283,304
0.99910,45413,758

Spread0.009Mid0.990

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9851,4711,471
0.9812881,759
0.9803782,137
0.9701002,237
0.9611012,338
0.9601002,438
0.9501002,538
0.901102,548
0.9001222,670
0.89092,680
0.880162,696
0.87082,704

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
gopfan2Yes5,234.52
Snow-WhiteYes3,350.55
0x8712Yes3,000.42
0x4e25…d7a7Yes2,954.06
tigerzYes2,916.67
amused85Yes2,071.13
goooyYes1,210.81
aouaouaouYes914.31
Numitus1994Yes576.23
dpndv2Yes463.46
ngusevvvvvvvvvvvvYes436.09
treadmill4727Yes347.1
frame135Yes240.87
szarrukYes216.08
unoalefYes200
0xa5d3A74eefeef8f22DB12fE9AbDfB35C0d1e3C28-1773821455499Yes200
FlashTradeOracleYes200
0x06d898dd11C4c1ffcA1F91c2c47f6E379b4C9446-1776245316934Yes160
wozaitaibeiYes150
TheJewishHammerYes140.65

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:28:11BUYNo0.991115$113.96
16:40:57BUYYes0.015100$1.50
13:06:05BUYNo0.992192$190.62
02:44:36SELLNo0.9851$0.98
02:44:35SELLNo0.9851$0.98
02:44:33SELLNo0.9851$0.98
02:44:32SELLNo0.9851$0.98
02:44:32SELLNo0.9851$0.98
02:31:27BUYNo0.9921$1.00
02:31:24BUYNo0.9921$1.00
02:31:23BUYNo0.9921$1.00
02:31:18BUYNo0.9921$1.00
02:31:18BUYNo0.9921$1.00
22:51:38BUYNo0.99146$45.55
01:50:53BUYNo0.988104200$197.62
06:27:18BUYNo0.98720$19.74
04:45:33SELLNo0.9851$0.99
04:45:32SELLNo0.9851$0.99
04:45:29SELLNo0.9851$0.99
04:45:26SELLNo0.9851$0.99
04:45:24SELLNo0.9851$0.99
04:02:44BUYNo0.98699922031$1.00
04:02:41BUYNo0.98699922031$1.00
04:02:39BUYNo0.98699922031$1.00
04:02:39BUYNo0.98699922031$1.00