PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x490e59912217dc88940c4f879115d67cd65a123a

Realised P&L
$845.20
Volume
$70.1k
Markets traded
1,330
Open portfolio
$496.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,330
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 08:10Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3?SELL0.07$1.97
08-03 02:53Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?BUY0.7199999935$8.85
08-03 02:48Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?BUY0.8199999934$14.82
08-02 23:04Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 3?BUY0.8858823529$60.24
08-02 23:01Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 3?BUY0.28$2.80
08-02 21:12Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 3?BUY0.2$2.80
08-02 19:20Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 3?BUY0.06$0.45
08-02 19:06Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 4?BUY0.1$4.00
08-02 19:03Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 3?BUY0.2099999716$5.32
08-02 18:58Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4?BUY0.1799999756$5.16
08-02 18:57Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3?BUY0.1399999731$3.95
08-02 18:57Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 3?BUY0.0699999834$3.75
08-02 17:47Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 2?BUY0.0392156863$1.25
08-02 16:45Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 2?BUY0.15$2.10
08-02 16:33Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.5599999662$4.64