0x490e59912217dc88940c4f879115d67cd65a123a
- Realised P&L
- $845.20
- Volume
- $70.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,330
- Open portfolio
- $496.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,330
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$230.32at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24?
- +$107.90at 0.075France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 1.5
- +$104.55at 0.039Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?
- +$95.88at 0.090Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
- +$68.38at 0.170Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.97 |
| 08-03 02:53 | Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea? | BUY | 0.7199999935 | $8.85 |
| 08-03 02:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? | BUY | 0.8199999934 | $14.82 |
| 08-02 23:04 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.8858823529 | $60.24 |
| 08-02 23:01 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 08-02 21:12 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.80 |
| 08-02 19:20 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.45 |
| 08-02 19:06 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.00 |
| 08-02 19:03 | Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.2099999716 | $5.32 |
| 08-02 18:58 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.1799999756 | $5.16 |
| 08-02 18:57 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.1399999731 | $3.95 |
| 08-02 18:57 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.0699999834 | $3.75 |
| 08-02 17:47 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.0392156863 | $1.25 |
| 08-02 16:45 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.15 | $2.10 |
| 08-02 16:33 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.5599999662 | $4.64 |