TheEmprah
0x4cb5ec560735efca23f76f2dd152b74bc6a9b536
- Realised P&L
- $41.4k
- Volume
- $4.07M
- Markets traded
- 221
- Open portfolio
- $188.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded221
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.0kat 0.728Will 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year?
- +$47.6kat 0.677Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
- +$24.4kat 0.860Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
- +$20.5kat 0.775No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
- +$12.4kat 0.890Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 17:57 | Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.41 | $6.15 |
| 08-01 23:17 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | BUY | 0.96 | $534.37 |
| 08-01 02:03 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.536 | $535.99 |
| 07-28 18:41 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $10.0k |
| 07-27 17:59 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.4k |
| 07-24 20:03 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.53201045 | $1.1k |
| 07-20 18:56 | Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.82 | $576.24 |
| 07-20 18:21 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.95 | $47.5k |
| 07-20 18:11 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.85 | $35.9k |
| 07-20 18:08 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.523 | $80.18 |
| 07-20 07:41 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.349 | $2.0k |
| 07-15 01:14 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.92 | $3.7k |
| 07-14 20:21 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9484125067 | $2.8k |
| 07-14 06:26 | Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.8 | $32.00 |
| 07-14 06:26 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.305 | $499.10 |