PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ngusevvvvvvvvvvvv

0x4d89d9c85b218bef34606919d79a0287de85a43e

Realised P&L
$-109.99
Volume
$9.0k
Markets traded
55
Open portfolio
$7.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded55
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample49 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.2290.010$4.36$95.64
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3210.033$2.06$17.94
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1280.028$0.66$2.34
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00$20.00
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? · Yes0.2080.000$0.00$20.00
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? · Yes0.1520.000$0.00$20.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.4200.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET · Down0.1690.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET · Down0.2010.000$0.00$3.00
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? · Yes0.2490.000$0.00$50.00
Will the US strike Iran next? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-16 14:24Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETSELL0.03$0.86
07-16 14:21Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETBUY0.2099999286$2.00
07-16 14:20Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETBUY0.2599999646$5.00
07-16 14:19Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETBUY0.16$1.00
07-16 14:16Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETBUY0.229999916$2.00
07-16 14:12Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETBUY0.16$1.00
07-16 14:12Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETBUY0.1799998704$1.00
07-16 14:11Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL0.5$19.23
07-16 14:08Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETBUY0.01$2.00
07-16 14:07Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETBUY0.0299999857$2.00
07-16 14:03Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4199999899$10.00
07-16 14:03France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.359999987$10.00
05-13 11:50Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?BUY0.4046584856$10.00
04-21 11:33Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?BUY0.0709558885$102.00
02-16 17:10Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETBUY0.4$9.71