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0x4d89d9c85b218bef34606919d79a0287de85a43e
- Realised P&L
- $-109.99
- Volume
- $9.0k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $7.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$249.26at 0.197Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
- +$189.90at 0.117Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
- +$80.00at 0.200Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$65.76at 0.147Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
- +$64.50at 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 14:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | SELL | 0.03 | $0.86 |
| 07-16 14:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.2099999286 | $2.00 |
| 07-16 14:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 14:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 14:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 07-16 14:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 14:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 14:11 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.5 | $19.23 |
| 07-16 14:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 07-16 14:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999857 | $2.00 |
| 07-16 14:03 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4199999899 | $10.00 |
| 07-16 14:03 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |
| 05-13 11:50 | Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? | BUY | 0.4046584856 | $10.00 |
| 04-21 11:33 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | BUY | 0.0709558885 | $102.00 |
| 02-16 17:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $9.71 |