PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

GCNO1

0x5011224f4848cb2cf2d87cf2b823551dfd0e220e

Realised P&L
$-39.6k
Volume
$8.34M
Markets traded
1,561
Open portfolio
$36.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,561
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · Yes0.9751.000$8.9k+$217.16
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? · Yes0.9321.000$8.9k+$602.57
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? · No0.8700.975$5.6k+$600.69
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.9770.998$4.4k+$92.45
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? · No0.7830.920$2.7k+$400.49
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · No0.8050.956$1.8k+$279.76
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? · No0.9510.973$1.5k+$34.89
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · Yes0.9700.992$1.1k+$23.41
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? · No0.9510.976$838.45+$21.06
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No0.5500.540$299.70$5.55
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31? · No0.7990.969$72.74+$12.74
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? · No0.5980.870$64.01+$20.01
Will the Utah Jazz make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · No0.8600.640$64.00$22.00
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by December 31? · No0.8400.400$40.00$44.00
Will Rho Labs launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1810.034$8.69$37.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 17:58Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?BUY0.9449549955$2.1k
08-01 12:21Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?SELL0.064$17.60
08-01 12:21Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?SELL0.0696$8.70
08-01 06:57Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?SELL0.07$10.50
08-01 06:55Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?BUY0.93$721.86
08-01 04:15Iran leadership change by July 31?BUY0.999$751.92
08-01 03:13Will Russell Fry place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?SELL0.06$0.60
07-29 17:49Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.79$410.27
07-27 16:30Will Patricia Mair win the next Salzgitter mayoral election?SELL0.02$2.00
07-27 16:30Will Ruslan Titov win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections?SELL0.0344395604$3.13
07-26 14:19Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.828$3.3k
07-26 02:33Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?SELL0.006$0.14
07-22 17:51Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?SELL0.01$0.15
07-21 17:13Iran full airspace closure by July 21?SELL0.0088093874$4.89
07-20 16:57US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?SELL0.998$3.0k