JordanMooney
0x5136541bced26e7c2bc20550cc26345f7d4a0e4f
- Realised P&L
- $13.9k
- Volume
- $999.5k
- Markets traded
- 6,544
- Open portfolio
- $3.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded6,544
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration37.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.066Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$1.8kat 0.017Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.8kat 0.257Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$1.7kat 0.028Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$1.3kat 0.270Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 15:11 | Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026? | BUY | 0.8099998723 | $4.06 |
| 07-31 15:11 | Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026? | BUY | 0.7888333333 | $94.66 |
| 07-31 13:29 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9859999999 | $78.89 |
| 07-31 13:29 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5699999955 | $45.68 |
| 07-31 13:29 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9769999999 | $78.17 |
| 07-31 13:27 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5699999955 | $45.68 |
| 07-31 13:27 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9859999999 | $78.89 |
| 07-31 13:27 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.975 | $78.01 |
| 07-31 13:27 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9859999999 | $78.89 |
| 07-31 13:27 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5699999955 | $45.68 |
| 07-31 13:27 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.975 | $78.01 |
| 07-31 07:41 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2391520342 | $6.03 |
| 07-31 04:20 | Will South African inflation be between 3.8% and 4.1% in 2026? | BUY | 0.8319999942 | $20.81 |
| 07-31 04:20 | Will South African inflation be between 2.9% and 3.2% in 2026? | BUY | 0.9459999988 | $23.66 |
| 07-31 04:20 | Will South African inflation be between 3.2% and 3.5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.921999999 | $23.06 |