PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x51dE66B7f3d10EceB99aaB57622cA850655e9E4A-1779581016815

0x51de66b7f3d10eceb99aab57622ca850655e9e4a

Realised P&L
$2.5k
Volume
$516.1k
Markets traded
218
Open portfolio
$9.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded218
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · Yes0.2980.115$1.2k$1.9k
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? · No0.7220.710$1.0k$17.97
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? · Yes0.3370.300$884.18$109.33
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · No0.2050.075$704.78$1.2k
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026? · Yes0.4030.180$642.54$796.75
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? · Yes0.1060.035$474.07$953.29
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.4610.225$453.08$476.06
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.3300.225$450.00$210.00
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? · Yes0.2420.505$400.37+$208.18
Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? · Yes0.4500.475$396.36+$20.86
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.2000.605$349.74+$234.12
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? · Yes0.2890.115$316.60$480.44
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? · Yes0.1580.110$312.01$137.11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? · No0.4300.755$281.62+$121.22
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.895$226.55+$1.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 14:31Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?BUY0.3$10.49
08-01 13:30Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in August 2026?BUY0.0210000001$10.00
08-01 13:27US x China tariff agreement by December 31?BUY0.1012000557$10.00
08-01 13:27US x China tariff agreement by December 31?BUY0.1$0.89
07-31 14:11Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7$355.87
07-30 00:07Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in July 2026?BUY0.0068631196$0.75
07-29 17:38Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?BUY0.45$375.50
07-29 17:27Will Trump post "President Xi" on Truth Social this week?BUY0.42$21.00
07-29 17:22Will Trump say "Ballroom" during Announcement with the Secretary of Transportation?BUY0.58$5.80
07-29 17:20Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?BUY0.43$160.39
07-29 17:17WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $83 on July 29?BUY0.13$198.98
07-29 17:15WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on July 29?BUY0.879$451.81
07-29 17:12WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on July 29?BUY0.32$32.00
07-29 17:08Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August?BUY0.07$9.07
07-29 13:08Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?BUY0.68$85.75