0x51dE66B7f3d10EceB99aaB57622cA850655e9E4A-1779581016815
0x51de66b7f3d10eceb99aab57622ca850655e9e4a
- Realised P&L
- $2.5k
- Volume
- $516.1k
- Markets traded
- 218
- Open portfolio
- $9.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded218
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.6kat 0.201Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
- +$3.1kat 0.282US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
- +$2.9kat 0.436Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan?
- +$1.7kat 0.044Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
- +$867.88at 0.384Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 14:31 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | BUY | 0.3 | $10.49 |
| 08-01 13:30 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in August 2026? | BUY | 0.0210000001 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 13:27 | US x China tariff agreement by December 31? | BUY | 0.1012000557 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 13:27 | US x China tariff agreement by December 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.89 |
| 07-31 14:11 | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $355.87 |
| 07-30 00:07 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in July 2026? | BUY | 0.0068631196 | $0.75 |
| 07-29 17:38 | Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? | BUY | 0.45 | $375.50 |
| 07-29 17:27 | Will Trump post "President Xi" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.42 | $21.00 |
| 07-29 17:22 | Will Trump say "Ballroom" during Announcement with the Secretary of Transportation? | BUY | 0.58 | $5.80 |
| 07-29 17:20 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.43 | $160.39 |
| 07-29 17:17 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $83 on July 29? | BUY | 0.13 | $198.98 |
| 07-29 17:15 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on July 29? | BUY | 0.879 | $451.81 |
| 07-29 17:12 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on July 29? | BUY | 0.32 | $32.00 |
| 07-29 17:08 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August? | BUY | 0.07 | $9.07 |
| 07-29 13:08 | Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $85.75 |