Hannah-Montana
0x521bf1c6a5435219b599127d85b7afe28758db60
- Realised P&L
- $-5.9k
- Volume
- $1.71M
- Markets traded
- 313
- Open portfolio
- $27.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded313
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.9kat 0.698Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
- +$2.5kat 0.870US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$1.9kat 0.415Wizards vs. 76ers
- +$1.8kat 0.615Will Ronaldo x MrBeast video get >20m views on day 1?
- +$1.7kat 0.904Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 14:04 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.492899332 | $833.00 |
| 07-28 18:16 | Will Tyreek Hill play for the Philadelphia Eagles next? | SELL | 0.992 | $1.49 |
| 07-28 18:16 | Will Tyreek Hill play for the Chicago Bears next? | SELL | 0.9886623735 | $32.24 |
| 07-28 18:15 | Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next? | SELL | 0.99 | $34.65 |
| 07-13 20:31 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.0929999993 | $114.00 |
| 07-06 21:25 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL | 0.78 | $605.52 |
| 07-06 21:05 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.8244576763 | $352.39 |
| 07-06 21:03 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.79 | $790.00 |
| 06-28 14:59 | Will Any Team Participate in 3+ Penalty Shootouts in the Knockout Phase? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.08 |
| 06-24 08:12 | Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.14 | $420.00 |
| 06-17 17:49 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $14.9k |
| 06-17 17:17 | Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19? | BUY | 0.8908304094 | $45.70 |
| 06-17 11:42 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.0k |
| 06-17 08:56 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $499.00 |
| 06-15 15:41 | Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $498.25 |