PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Hannah-Montana

0x521bf1c6a5435219b599127d85b7afe28758db60

Realised P&L
$-5.9k
Volume
$1.71M
Markets traded
313
Open portfolio
$27.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded313
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 14:04Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.492899332$833.00
07-28 18:16Will Tyreek Hill play for the Philadelphia Eagles next?SELL0.992$1.49
07-28 18:16Will Tyreek Hill play for the Chicago Bears next?SELL0.9886623735$32.24
07-28 18:15Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next?SELL0.99$34.65
07-13 20:31Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?BUY0.0929999993$114.00
07-06 21:25Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?SELL0.78$605.52
07-06 21:05Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.8244576763$352.39
07-06 21:03Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.79$790.00
06-28 14:59Will Any Team Participate in 3+ Penalty Shootouts in the Knockout Phase?SELL0.18$1.08
06-24 08:12Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?SELL0.14$420.00
06-17 17:49US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL0.998$14.9k
06-17 17:17Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?BUY0.8908304094$45.70
06-17 11:42US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL0.998$4.0k
06-17 08:56US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL0.998$499.00
06-15 15:41Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?BUY0.91$498.25