Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-16

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.013. up 0.003 over the period, from 0.009. Range 0.009 to 0.024. 158 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.013	40,807	40,807
0.014	300	41,107
0.015	5,600	46,707
0.016	2,831	49,538
0.017	2,113	51,650
0.018	33,599	85,249
0.019	300	85,549
0.020	2,662	88,211
0.021	500	88,711
0.022	600	89,311
0.023	500	89,811
0.025	1,000	90,811

Spread0.001Mid0.013

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.012	149,200	149,200
0.011	88,515	237,715
0.010	55,606	293,321
0.009	4,202	297,523
0.008	14,410	311,933
0.007	208,843	520,776
0.006	64,498	585,274
0.005	323,761	909,034
0.004	734,606	1,643,641
0.003	2,919,196	4,562,836
0.002	2,717,940	7,280,776
0.001	5,836,318	13,117,094

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.988	149,200	149,200
0.989	88,515	237,715
0.990	55,606	293,321
0.991	4,202	297,523
0.992	14,410	311,933
0.993	208,843	520,776
0.994	64,498	585,274
0.995	323,761	909,034
0.996	734,606	1,643,641
0.997	2,919,196	4,562,836
0.998	2,717,940	7,280,776
0.999	5,836,318	13,117,094

Spread0.001Mid0.988

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.987	40,807	40,807
0.986	300	41,107
0.985	5,600	46,707
0.984	2,831	49,538
0.983	2,113	51,650
0.982	33,599	85,249
0.981	300	85,549
0.980	2,662	88,211
0.979	500	88,711
0.978	600	89,311
0.977	500	89,811
0.975	1,000	90,811

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
foodenjoyer	Yes	300,000
pada	Yes	152,288.22
Adrink3D	Yes	100,000.24
immanuelcan	Yes	70,391.04
Hannah-Montana	Yes	59,999.96
ubergoy	Yes	32,999.5
Cashmeowio	Yes	31,635.24
WongKimArk	Yes	29,999.96
howesr1970	Yes	26,715.23
debased	Yes	20,085.48
8DDD	Yes	20,000
timetowander	Yes	19,908.65
m00n	Yes	13,751.57
harishjindal	Yes	12,981.82
SimonLiber	Yes	12,590.64
ZenithAether	Yes	10,714.29
suntori	Yes	10,688.35
CW1975	Yes	10,199.79
F1geek	Yes	10,000
HerrieDavis	Yes	9,277.65

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
22:28:33	BUY	Yes	0.013	101	$1.32
22:07:51	BUY	Yes	0.012999997	336	$4.37
22:07:51	SELL	Yes	0.012	11,392	$136.70
21:51:23	BUY	Yes	0.0129999911	112	$1.45
21:51:21	SELL	Yes	0.012	3,805	$45.66
21:42:30	BUY	Yes	0.013	1,216	$15.81
21:40:20	BUY	Yes	0.013	3,805	$49.47
21:37:26	BUY	Yes	0.013	290	$3.77
21:37:26	SELL	Yes	0.012	10,000	$120.00
21:32:24	SELL	Yes	0.012	1,000	$12.00
21:09:18	BUY	Yes	0.0129999945	177	$2.30
21:09:17	SELL	Yes	0.012	6,099	$73.19
21:04:02	BUY	No	0.988	15	$14.82
20:35:38	BUY	Yes	0.0129999998	5,846	$76.00
18:47:54	BUY	Yes	0.0129999873	77	$1.00
18:23:27	BUY	Yes	0.0129999999	8,021	$104.27
18:06:20	BUY	No	0.988	284	$280.39
18:06:20	BUY	No	0.988	332	$328.16
18:06:20	BUY	No	0.988	500	$494.00
18:06:18	BUY	No	0.9879999999	50	$49.43
18:05:53	SELL	Yes	0.012	43	$0.52
18:02:51	SELL	Yes	0.012	285	$3.42
18:02:18	SELL	Yes	0.012	21	$0.25
18:02:12	BUY	Yes	0.0129999888	87	$1.13
18:02:11	SELL	Yes	0.012	3,000	$36.00