0x522658d3A48a309Ee9421BF4CC9d6173B6B4B4F5-1721256634257
0x522658d3a48a309ee9421bf4cc9d6173b6b4b4f5
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $871.8k
- Markets traded
- 251
- Open portfolio
- $300.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded251
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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- +$116.91at 0.924Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 07:16 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.06 | $12.06 |
| 07-27 04:47 | José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.54 |
| 07-22 10:48 | José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? | SELL | 0.11 | $5.61 |
| 07-20 08:45 | José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.91 |
| 06-30 00:51 | José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? | BUY | 0.0669215686 | $3.41 |
| 06-25 04:51 | Will Relay launch a token by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.32 | $16.32 |
| 06-22 07:41 | Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.127 | $6.48 |
| 06-09 12:34 | Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.26 |
| 06-03 05:30 | KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? | SELL | 0.08 | $16.00 |
| 06-03 02:13 | Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.06 |
| 05-29 22:44 | Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $8.67 |
| 05-26 22:38 | Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | SELL | 0.2331372549 | $11.89 |
| 05-25 11:43 | Don Lemon charges dropped? | SELL | 0.0087982219 | $3.13 |
| 05-14 04:43 | Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.04 |
| 05-13 00:40 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.15 | $30.15 |