PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x522658d3A48a309Ee9421BF4CC9d6173B6B4B4F5-1721256634257

0x522658d3a48a309ee9421bf4cc9d6173b6b4b4f5

Realised P&L
$-2.0k
Volume
$871.8k
Markets traded
251
Open portfolio
$300.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded251
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0390.040$111.14+$1.29
Ebola pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0380.033$26.11$4.26
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ? · Yes0.0350.022$18.30$10.26
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? · Yes0.0580.077$15.73+$4.05
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027? · Yes0.0520.046$13.89$1.90
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026? · Yes0.0310.021$13.54$6.91
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? · Yes0.0560.055$12.90$0.32
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0600.055$11.05$1.00
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? · Yes0.0480.055$9.90+$1.28
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? · Yes0.0480.049$9.75+$0.04
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? · Yes0.0410.043$8.68+$0.53
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0250.035$7.12+$2.08
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0390.036$6.21$0.41
Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026? · Yes0.0750.055$6.06$2.22
OPEC dissolves in 2026? · Yes0.0650.055$5.61$1.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 07:16Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.06$12.06
07-27 04:47José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?SELL0.08$0.54
07-22 10:48José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?SELL0.11$5.61
07-20 08:45José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?SELL0.08$0.91
06-30 00:51José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?BUY0.0669215686$3.41
06-25 04:51Will Relay launch a token by June 30, 2027?SELL0.32$16.32
06-22 07:41Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?SELL0.127$6.48
06-09 12:34Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?BUY0.06$1.26
06-03 05:30KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?SELL0.08$16.00
06-03 02:13Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?BUY0.06$3.06
05-29 22:44Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?SELL0.17$8.67
05-26 22:38Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?SELL0.2331372549$11.89
05-25 11:43Don Lemon charges dropped?SELL0.0087982219$3.13
05-14 04:43Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?BUY0.08$1.04
05-13 00:40Will GameStop acquire eBay?SELL0.15$30.15