Jrinoz
0x5482dd73e3083482edb94b70a23f265b7522d034
- Realised P&L
- $-15.03
- Volume
- $113.7k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.299Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- +$877.34at 0.642MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$747.19at 0.381SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
- +$515.39at 0.753US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$409.58at 0.913US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 20:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.0495147554 | $50.00 |
| 07-30 17:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.55 | $60.49 |
| 07-30 14:04 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.8369999998 | $150.00 |
| 07-27 22:44 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? | BUY | 0.9404582208 | $333.00 |
| 07-24 14:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 20-26? | SELL | 0.236624699 | $351.83 |
| 07-24 13:24 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | BUY | 0.7799999813 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 13:23 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | BUY | 0.7799999993 | $167.00 |
| 07-24 13:23 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $4.23 |
| 07-24 13:23 | Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? | SELL | 0.74 | $162.50 |
| 07-20 10:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.4306514625 | $640.32 |
| 07-15 14:01 | Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? | BUY | 0.6830510924 | $150.00 |
| 07-14 16:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.08 | $30.00 |
| 07-14 16:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.6257332812 | $100.00 |
| 07-13 19:44 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9? | BUY | 0.778952723 | $150.00 |
| 07-01 14:49 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0236496811 | $25.00 |