PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

redvinny

0x56c9fbdeccf198f1f5ad95ace39b24f5f7fb0d9e

Realised P&L
$-889.1k
Volume
$80.18M
Markets traded
2,170
Open portfolio
$29.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,170
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration64.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.8900.887$13.0k$44.46
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.1200.065$4.2k$3.6k
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.8600.920$4.0k+$264.00
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.8190.815$3.3k$17.16
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6520.680$1.4k+$57.56
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0290.030$1.2k+$45.11
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0400.043$1.2k+$78.95
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.3740.355$756.54$40.86
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · No0.7500.760$380.00+$5.00
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 3 Winner · EDward Gaming0.7920.000$0.00$7.7k
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11AM ET · Down0.6150.000$0.00$5.8k
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) · Aurora Gaming0.8330.000$0.00$24.0k
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-04-10? · Yes0.7100.000$0.00$7.6k
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner · Astralis0.7760.000$0.00$29.89
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner · Team Liquid0.6690.000$0.00$5.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 14:47Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?BUY0.75$375.00
08-02 14:41Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.0299112616$218.35
08-01 16:18Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.91$5.1k
08-01 16:18Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.91$595.63
08-01 16:17Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.9$1.4k
08-01 07:38Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.884$2.7k
08-01 07:08Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.029$14.50
07-31 13:43Bonn: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Federico Agustin GomezBUY0.58$2.9k
07-31 13:42Bonn: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Federico Agustin GomezBUY0.67$14.4k
07-31 13:02Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerSELL0.9902269816$5.8k
07-31 12:44Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.8096910707$17.6k
07-31 11:34Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.894$268.20
07-31 11:33Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.894$625.80
07-31 11:25Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.84$84.00
07-31 10:58Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.043$25.80