PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Carecainsano7

0x579ace32f5b3e29c090d56d89450b66252bdb0a7

Realised P&L
$-305.63
Volume
$482.8k
Markets traded
1,140
Open portfolio
$10.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,140
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8930.923$3.7k+$120.78
Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? · Yes0.8890.895$1.9k+$11.91
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6230.655$1.6k+$76.21
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6490.635$1.3k$29.12
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? · Yes0.6940.710$716.09+$16.09
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8440.915$542.61+$42.61
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2660.248$252.71$17.29
Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election? · Yes0.6430.685$212.90+$12.90
Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0020.004$125.73+$60.74
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · No0.9100.905$99.45$0.55
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.7620.751$98.59$1.42
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? · Yes0.3500.345$49.27$0.73
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? · No0.7400.725$48.99$1.01
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0120.003$15.14$55.85
Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0080.006$11.60$3.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 00:21Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?BUY0.9$122.53
08-02 10:32Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6699999989$500.00
08-02 09:33Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6434121014$100.00
08-02 02:43Spread: Mirassol FC (-1.5)BUY0.2383316754$50.00
08-02 02:43Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.4899999998$275.00
08-02 02:26Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?BUY0.8989512834$500.00
08-02 02:15Exact Score: Santos FC 0 - 0 Clube do Remo?SELL0.99$173.25
08-02 02:06Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-01?SELL0.999$766.32
08-02 02:05Will Santos FC vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?SELL0.999$249.75
08-02 02:03Santos FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5SELL0.999$167.60
08-02 01:22Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.5399999985$70.46
08-02 01:21Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)BUY0.2399001996$6.01
08-02 01:15Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)BUY0.2621359137$20.00
08-02 01:06Exact Score: Santos FC 1 - 0 Clube do Remo?BUY0.269999995$32.00
08-02 00:59Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)BUY0.2816796152$65.00