PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

dex52

0x5822b9376e50d576ef85e62be0f53434816f8774

Realised P&L
$-64.9k
Volume
$6.54M
Markets traded
4,177
Open portfolio
$41.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,177
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · Yes0.9361.000$7.8k+$493.77
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? · Yes0.9521.000$4.2k+$199.50
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · No0.9610.979$3.9k+$70.21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.9941.000$2.7k+$15.11
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.8490.460$2.4k$2.1k
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? · No0.9991.000$2.3k+$2.09
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? · Yes0.8760.885$1.5k+$15.17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? · No0.9961.000$1.4k+$4.79
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · Yes0.9240.972$1.2k+$59.90
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? · No0.9881.000$1.2k+$14.30
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 27-August 2? · No0.9991.000$1.2k+$0.60
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? · No0.9880.997$897.44+$8.02
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · Yes0.9320.983$836.14+$43.53
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · No0.8770.972$760.64+$74.51
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? · No0.8660.855$725.63$8.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:05Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.999$5.00
08-02 05:23Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.931$6.68
08-02 04:18Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.948$15.23
08-02 03:20US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?BUY0.943$4.71
08-01 16:40US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.93$328.37
08-01 04:46Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 1?BUY0.966$56.00
08-01 01:10Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 1?BUY0.978$9.78
07-31 21:17US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.92$145.85
07-30 14:23Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?BUY0.999$394.04
07-30 14:06Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 30?BUY0.985$198.32
07-30 13:49Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?BUY0.981$4.91
07-30 05:47Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?BUY0.811$4.59
07-30 04:46Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 30?BUY0.987$4.93
07-30 04:08Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?BUY0.995$130.15
07-30 01:57Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?BUY0.986$66.49