dex52
0x5822b9376e50d576ef85e62be0f53434816f8774
- Realised P&L
- $-64.9k
- Volume
- $6.54M
- Markets traded
- 4,177
- Open portfolio
- $41.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,177
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.3kat 0.959US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$2.9kat 0.951US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
- +$2.7kat 0.958US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
- +$2.4kat 0.974US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$2.4kat 0.852Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 05:23 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.931 | $6.68 |
| 08-02 04:18 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.948 | $15.23 |
| 08-02 03:20 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.943 | $4.71 |
| 08-01 16:40 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.93 | $328.37 |
| 08-01 04:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.966 | $56.00 |
| 08-01 01:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.978 | $9.78 |
| 07-31 21:17 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $145.85 |
| 07-30 14:23 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $394.04 |
| 07-30 14:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 30? | BUY | 0.985 | $198.32 |
| 07-30 13:49 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.981 | $4.91 |
| 07-30 05:47 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.811 | $4.59 |
| 07-30 04:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 30? | BUY | 0.987 | $4.93 |
| 07-30 04:08 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $130.15 |
| 07-30 01:57 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.986 | $66.49 |