PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ManAreBrave

0x58c6a0116e790ebf1569604efa3edaddcfeed759

Realised P&L
$-4.3k
Volume
$208.8k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · Yes0.0650.040$1.2k$781.88
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? · Yes0.5040.410$487.90$112.10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August? · Yes0.0260.010$77.12$122.88
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0760.040$35.55$32.85
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? · Yes0.0240.019$24.05$5.95
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2600.205$10.29$2.77
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · Yes0.1700.075$6.75$8.55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? · Yes0.1050.000$0.00$90.00
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00$45.70
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$45.87
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$50.00
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$35.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June? · Yes0.2420.000$0.00$70.13
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1010.000$0.00$111.10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June? · Yes0.1630.000$0.00$333.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 16:48Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?BUY0.5042016807$600.00
08-02 15:39Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?BUY0.0243293612$30.00
07-31 23:49Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?BUY0.0259341022$200.00
07-31 23:47Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?SELL0.034$237.24
07-26 03:55Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?BUY0.1047336137$90.00
07-26 02:07Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?SELL0.0024277414$19.15
07-26 02:07Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?SELL0.0019499382$53.97
07-22 05:50Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?BUY0.0567577808$250.00
07-22 05:49Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?SELL0.037182573$244.50
07-21 18:14Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?BUY0.0388668298$100.00
07-15 21:00Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.002$2.23
07-15 12:38Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?BUY0.0594396591$390.00
07-15 11:42Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.227$249.70
07-15 10:46Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?BUY0.0169348915$111.55
07-15 10:41Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?BUY0.0620745884$470.00