ManAreBrave
0x58c6a0116e790ebf1569604efa3edaddcfeed759
- Realised P&L
- $-4.3k
- Volume
- $208.8k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.443US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
- +$401.92at 0.732US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
- +$366.98at 0.836US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
- +$324.80at 0.500Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
- +$83.19at 0.320Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 16:48 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.5042016807 | $600.00 |
| 08-02 15:39 | Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? | BUY | 0.0243293612 | $30.00 |
| 07-31 23:49 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August? | BUY | 0.0259341022 | $200.00 |
| 07-31 23:47 | Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? | SELL | 0.034 | $237.24 |
| 07-26 03:55 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? | BUY | 0.1047336137 | $90.00 |
| 07-26 02:07 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July? | SELL | 0.0024277414 | $19.15 |
| 07-26 02:07 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July? | SELL | 0.0019499382 | $53.97 |
| 07-22 05:50 | Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? | BUY | 0.0567577808 | $250.00 |
| 07-22 05:49 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? | SELL | 0.037182573 | $244.50 |
| 07-21 18:14 | Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? | BUY | 0.0388668298 | $100.00 |
| 07-15 21:00 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.002 | $2.23 |
| 07-15 12:38 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? | BUY | 0.0594396591 | $390.00 |
| 07-15 11:42 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.227 | $249.70 |
| 07-15 10:46 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July? | BUY | 0.0169348915 | $111.55 |
| 07-15 10:41 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.0620745884 | $470.00 |