0x59d184d94984b26bab2baecbef2a0c356bd407ce
- Realised P&L
- $2.3k
- Volume
- $68.8k
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $13.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$726.74at 0.930Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
- +$574.44at 0.806Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
- +$251.85at 0.915Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
- +$134.90at 0.838US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
- +$114.51at 0.925Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 20:41 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.4k |
| 07-30 06:48 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $418.95 |
| 07-26 00:24 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.994 | $162.68 |
| 07-20 13:26 | Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.64 |
| 07-08 01:30 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $68.01 |
| 07-05 03:14 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.976 | $2.5k |
| 07-04 04:02 | Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9754439571 | $44.26 |
| 06-30 23:02 | Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.8617230756 | $211.69 |
| 06-30 20:04 | Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.84 | $67.20 |
| 06-29 07:32 | Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9839999974 | $24.40 |
| 06-29 07:02 | Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.984 | $6.15 |
| 06-29 06:38 | Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9859999711 | $24.40 |
| 06-29 06:25 | Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.985 | $27.74 |
| 06-29 02:41 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9709999998 | $95.99 |
| 06-28 22:02 | Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $14.00 |