Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 20 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.24. down 0.01 over the period, from 0.24. Range 0.24 to 0.24. 141 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.25	192	192
0.26	201	393
0.27	112	504
0.30	310	814
0.43	16	830
0.44	20	849
0.45	25	875
0.49	23	897
0.64	200	1,097
0.65	200	1,297
0.96	16	1,313
0.97	21	1,334

Spread0.02Mid0.24

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.23	227	227
0.22	553	780
0.21	40	820
0.20	20	840
0.19	217	1,056
0.17	384	1,441
0.16	119	1,560
0.15	444	2,003
0.13	605	2,609
0.11	770	3,379
0.08	800	4,179
0.07	7,853	12,032

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.77	227	227
0.78	553	780
0.79	40	820
0.80	20	840
0.81	217	1,056
0.83	384	1,441
0.84	119	1,560
0.85	444	2,003
0.87	605	2,609
0.89	770	3,379
0.92	800	4,179
0.93	7,853	12,032

Spread0.02Mid0.76

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.75	192	192
0.74	201	393
0.73	112	504
0.70	310	814
0.57	16	830
0.56	20	849
0.55	25	875
0.51	23	897
0.36	200	1,097
0.35	200	1,297
0.04	16	1,313
0.03	21	1,334

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
enrico-vasaio	Yes	1,080.28
bmtr	Yes	607.77
NOPH	Yes	500
honest-owl	Yes	400
Oklmntrader	Yes	309.68
Nadmi	Yes	272.66
LornaPredicts	Yes	207.65
thecaricature	Yes	120
0x59d1…07ce	Yes	100
0xeE8aef5aDC04FFb8Cb3417233389473246BDf0b0-1773254929104	Yes	100
dropmeplease	Yes	94.73
Sheehave	Yes	80.2
Midas14	Yes	72.3
Dr.PNL	Yes	53.12
AJSV	Yes	31.61
PPMT	Yes	30
everymarket	Yes	27.35
ilovecarrots	Yes	23.99
Wordsmith	Yes	22.54
shoobadooba18	Yes	20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
13:08:34	BUY	Yes	0.25	4	$1.00
10:43:05	SELL	No	0.75	5	$3.89
02:12:15	SELL	No	0.75	1	$1.12
06:14:00	BUY	Yes	0.25	5	$1.25
07:38:39	BUY	Yes	0.25	20	$5.00
06:49:39	SELL	No	0.75	95	$71.25
09:23:55	SELL	Yes	0.24	10	$2.45
09:23:27	SELL	Yes	0.24	10	$2.45
09:23:25	SELL	Yes	0.24	20	$4.80
07:24:07	SELL	Yes	0.24	4	$0.96
00:24:46	SELL	Yes	0.24	50	$12.00
13:50:51	BUY	Yes	0.25	12	$3.00
13:17:10	SELL	No	0.75	5	$3.75
03:06:54	BUY	Yes	0.25	4	$1.00
08:50:57	BUY	Yes	0.25	20	$5.00
10:09:25	BUY	Yes	0.25	100	$25.00
19:59:20	BUY	Yes	0.25	20	$5.00
04:30:56	SELL	No	0.75	12	$8.96
18:48:29	SELL	No	0.75	4	$2.91
18:48:28	BUY	No	0.7599999692	5	$3.95
14:38:11	SELL	No	0.75	4	$2.92
14:38:10	SELL	Yes	0.24	4	$0.96
10:55:43	BUY	Yes	0.25	52	$13.00
03:06:23	SELL	No	0.75	0	$0.01
17:44:43	BUY	Yes	0.25	4	$1.00