abc1231112441
0x5b295a255e719f654835f925e31358212fbfe882
- Realised P&L
- $-454.91
- Volume
- $66.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,490
- Open portfolio
- $259.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,490
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.38at 0.088Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$38.00at 0.050Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
- +$34.89at 0.044Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
- +$24.50at 0.020Will Keri Russell win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?
- +$23.92at 0.080Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-05 08:13 | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8732756075 | $5.00 |
| 03-29 06:21 | Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? | BUY | 0.9199999986 | $26.24 |
| 03-26 02:21 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | SELL | 0.0128978667 | $0.97 |
| 03-24 10:15 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | BUY | 0.4 | $30.00 |
| 03-21 12:10 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | SELL | 0.12 | $26.13 |
| 03-20 06:56 | Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok? | SELL | 0.0894623308 | $3.04 |
| 03-20 06:53 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX? | SELL | 0.073 | $3.19 |
| 03-20 06:52 | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026? | SELL | 0.092633758 | $2.91 |
| 03-20 05:25 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | BUY | 0.32 | $13.69 |
| 03-19 08:49 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | SELL | 0.6 | $6.60 |
| 03-19 08:18 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | BUY | 0.4 | $30.00 |
| 03-19 08:16 | Will Trump visit China by May 31? | BUY | 0.66 | $46.20 |
| 03-19 08:16 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | BUY | 0.4 | $40.00 |
| 03-03 19:20 | Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.13 |
| 03-03 19:19 | Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |