PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

latvianboy

0x5bae91266d6582314d3ce97e0d17896611ca2955

Realised P&L
$436.38
Volume
$7.8k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$2.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9060.915$640.50+$6.50
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · No0.8960.915$630.74+$13.05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2400.225$292.50$19.50
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? · No0.8650.925$273.86+$17.86
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.9420.974$194.70+$6.30
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.9030.915$137.25+$1.75
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4750.545$54.50+$7.00
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? · Yes0.3350.260$52.00$15.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1540.115$47.15$15.95
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3300.415$41.50+$8.50
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.7060.340$34.00$36.60
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9620.981$29.41+$0.55
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$17.00
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30? · No0.7300.000$0.00$36.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-23 19:23Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.9099999998$230.00
07-23 19:22Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?SELL0.66$66.00
07-15 14:36Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?BUY0.14$7.00
07-06 11:56Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.7038461538$45.75
07-06 11:54Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.47$12.69
07-06 11:54Trump meets with Putin by December 31?BUY0.29$29.00
07-06 11:50Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?BUY0.21$63.00
07-06 11:12Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.89$89.00
07-06 11:11Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.91$182.00
07-06 11:10Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?BUY0.14$35.00
07-06 11:10Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?BUY0.21$105.00
06-22 19:36Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?BUY0.16$9.60
06-22 19:35Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?BUY0.24$24.00
06-21 08:19Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?BUY0.8899999999$130.00
06-19 12:41Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.91$45.50