latvianboy
0x5bae91266d6582314d3ce97e0d17896611ca2955
- Realised P&L
- $436.38
- Volume
- $7.8k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.00at 0.080Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$72.40at 0.732Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
- +$72.00at 0.280Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$68.59at 0.472Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?
- +$35.00at 0.300US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 19:23 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999998 | $230.00 |
| 07-23 19:22 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting? | SELL | 0.66 | $66.00 |
| 07-15 14:36 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $7.00 |
| 07-06 11:56 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7038461538 | $45.75 |
| 07-06 11:54 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $12.69 |
| 07-06 11:54 | Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.29 | $29.00 |
| 07-06 11:50 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $63.00 |
| 07-06 11:12 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $89.00 |
| 07-06 11:11 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $182.00 |
| 07-06 11:10 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $35.00 |
| 07-06 11:10 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $105.00 |
| 06-22 19:36 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $9.60 |
| 06-22 19:35 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $24.00 |
| 06-21 08:19 | Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8899999999 | $130.00 |
| 06-19 12:41 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $45.50 |