Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-12-31

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.09. Unchanged over the period, from 0.09. Range 0.07 to 0.10. 155 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.09	24,280	24,280
0.10	8,606	32,886
0.11	915	33,801
0.12	1,428	35,229
0.13	577	35,806
0.14	903	36,708
0.15	2,006	38,714
0.16	155	38,869
0.17	300	39,169
0.18	2,122	41,291
0.20	5,010	46,301
0.23	130	46,431

Spread0.01Mid0.08

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.08	236	236
0.07	27,570	27,806
0.06	2,577	30,383
0.05	3,172	33,555
0.04	261	33,816
0.03	7,544	41,360
0.02	12,272	53,632
0.01	236,534	290,166

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.92	236	236
0.93	27,570	27,806
0.94	2,577	30,383
0.95	3,172	33,555
0.96	261	33,816
0.97	7,544	41,360
0.98	12,272	53,632
0.99	236,534	290,166

Spread0.01Mid0.92

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.91	24,280	24,280
0.90	8,606	32,886
0.89	915	33,801
0.88	1,428	35,229
0.87	577	35,806
0.86	903	36,708
0.85	2,006	38,714
0.84	155	38,869
0.83	300	39,169
0.82	2,122	41,291
0.80	5,010	46,301
0.77	130	46,431

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
LlamaLoco0000	Yes	70,937.57
xyz9999	Yes	33,328.57
UniversalCarrier	Yes	19,728.14
Dmit	Yes	9,224.2
whysoslow	Yes	8,333.33
meagainsttheworld	Yes	7,000
amused85	Yes	4,613.37
0x26201e9fFacf2929e8C597635f81e9E126F378f5-1734108582669	Yes	4,266.97
SITIFUKUDZIN	Yes	3,678.02
vsesoso	Yes	3,472.6
0x7Ee7B7fe80641bE006601Fce0D43D0CD0A5517b0-1772646139842	Yes	3,057.8
mehanizator	Yes	2,299.98
0xb24c…1781	Yes	2,171.01
Jacksontye	Yes	2,124
Lucasq	Yes	1,946
0x8cc21C6ac286409D24Dad291Ac50D86339b264dE-1774538885082	Yes	1,886.67
evalso	Yes	1,813.66
tiger555	Yes	1,771.24
makanmakan	Yes	1,639.04
0x6d87…c442	Yes	1,611.56

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
19:03:36	SELL	Yes	0.07	63	$4.38
07:17:47	BUY	No	0.92	130	$119.60
07:09:06	SELL	Yes	0.08	600	$48.00
23:51:35	BUY	Yes	0.0899999736	33	$3.00
21:59:09	BUY	No	0.9199999963	11	$10.00
20:44:26	BUY	No	0.9199999659	1	$1.08
17:20:27	BUY	Yes	0.0899999845	56	$5.00
15:58:38	SELL	No	0.91	1	$1.03
12:08:09	BUY	No	0.92	80	$73.60
12:08:02	BUY	No	0.92	1,000	$920.00
07:09:47	BUY	Yes	0.0899999919	111	$10.00
00:20:03	SELL	Yes	0.08	3,315	$265.18
20:44:48	SELL	No	0.91	3	$3.06
20:44:47	BUY	No	0.92	1,000	$920.00
16:39:03	SELL	Yes	0.08	2,596	$207.67
02:59:03	SELL	No	0.91	96	$87.45
20:12:00	SELL	No	0.91	6	$5.61
18:32:29	SELL	No	0.91	1	$0.91
16:45:29	SELL	Yes	0.09	86	$7.75
16:22:53	BUY	No	0.91	19	$17.29
15:51:14	BUY	Yes	0.1	100	$10.00
11:43:17	BUY	No	0.91	5	$4.55
11:43:14	BUY	No	0.91	10	$9.00
03:51:02	SELL	No	0.9	1	$0.90
03:24:59	BUY	Yes	0.09	2	$0.19