Alenko810
0x5c1e13b3623ded6a2ad55bd5248a88599d0a6515
- Realised P&L
- $795.76
- Volume
- $55.8k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $112.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration86.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.290 | $68.96 | −$23.78 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.009 | $26.45 | −$36.54 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.011 | $16.91 | −$33.09 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.164 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$104.69 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.371Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$180.86at 0.345US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
- +$0.60at 0.982US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?
- +$-17.94at 0.190US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$-19.87at 0.023Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 11:42 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999987 | $92.74 |
| 07-19 11:42 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0339999993 | $50.00 |
| 07-19 11:42 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0226233849 | $63.00 |
| 07-02 23:33 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $46.69 |
| 07-02 23:32 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0089247518 | $50.00 |
| 07-02 23:31 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.342 | $102.74 |
| 05-30 20:48 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1639999993 | $153.96 |
| 05-30 19:32 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.9k |
| 05-23 11:26 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.5799999995 | $200.56 |
| 05-23 11:26 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $156.25 |
| 05-23 11:26 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $46.58 |
| 05-22 09:46 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $200.00 |
| 05-22 09:46 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999979 | $59.00 |
| 05-06 19:53 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.4795427918 | $209.77 |
| 05-05 09:02 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.0675829103 | $62.70 |