PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

bertross

0x5fa5a4e1f73173f0a10ec704bddea03b08c6b7a7

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$51.0k
Markets traded
280
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded280
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · No0.4930.885$388.32+$171.93
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? · Yes0.3670.160$77.42$100.18
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes0.4810.610$76.25+$16.15
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? · No0.5000.760$76.00+$26.00
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? · No0.4470.655$49.13+$15.57
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · No0.3821.000$44.97+$27.77
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.4040.390$37.00$1.36
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · Yes0.5000.345$31.04$13.96
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2430.255$25.61+$1.16
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? · Yes0.4750.560$19.60+$2.97
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.2310.555$19.43+$11.32
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2090.140$18.22$9.03
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? · No0.2901.000$14.99+$10.64
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? · No0.1660.184$13.80+$1.39
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2670.145$13.78$11.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 21:39Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?BUY0.2$1.00
08-02 17:53Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?BUY0.47$2.72
08-02 08:08US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.28$1.88
08-02 02:38US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.2$3.00
08-02 02:38US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.3533333333$5.30
08-02 02:23US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.31$4.65
08-02 02:23US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1$1.50
08-02 02:23 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?BUY0.29$4.35
08-02 02:23Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?BUY0.3166666667$4.75
08-02 02:23Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?BUY0.3$4.50
08-02 02:23Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?BUY0.32$4.80
08-02 02:23Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?BUY0.25$3.75
08-02 01:07US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?BUY0.31$4.65
08-02 00:52Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.18$2.70
08-02 00:52Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.1$0.86