bertross
0x5fa5a4e1f73173f0a10ec704bddea03b08c6b7a7
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $51.0k
- Markets traded
- 280
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded280
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$455.28at 0.500Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
- +$112.50at 0.500Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
- +$97.69at 0.071Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
- +$60.75at 0.241Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
- +$59.70at 0.337Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:39 | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 17:53 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.72 |
| 08-02 08:08 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.88 |
| 08-02 02:38 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 02:38 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3533333333 | $5.30 |
| 08-02 02:23 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $4.65 |
| 08-02 02:23 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.50 |
| 08-02 02:23 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.29 | $4.35 |
| 08-02 02:23 | Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | BUY | 0.3166666667 | $4.75 |
| 08-02 02:23 | Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $4.50 |
| 08-02 02:23 | Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $4.80 |
| 08-02 02:23 | Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $3.75 |
| 08-02 01:07 | US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? | BUY | 0.31 | $4.65 |
| 08-02 00:52 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.18 | $2.70 |
| 08-02 00:52 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.86 |