mr.ozi
0x614dc8d3542c12103d2c6a3553fd761e391d1546
- Realised P&L
- $563.7k
- Volume
- $37.22M
- Markets traded
- 1,927
- Open portfolio
- $472.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,927
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$74.2kat 0.322US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$64.7kat 0.585Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
- +$63.0kat 0.422US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$56.4kat 0.781Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$30.6kat 0.724France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 20:22 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.54 | $49.16 |
| 08-02 18:45 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.59 | $3.0k |
| 08-02 18:44 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.67 | $2.5k |
| 08-02 18:44 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | BUY | 0.58653425 | $1.2k |
| 08-02 18:41 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.54 | $541.74 |
| 08-02 18:39 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.57546394 | $2.9k |
| 08-02 17:22 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $630.00 |
| 08-02 11:17 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.81 | $783.46 |
| 08-02 11:14 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.57 | $2.8k |
| 08-02 11:13 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.5k |
| 08-02 06:40 | Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8088653972 | $61.60 |
| 08-01 22:05 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 08-01 22:04 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.3987812047 | $1.4k |
| 08-01 21:59 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.1578343397 | $558.87 |
| 08-01 21:52 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.66 | $4.8k |