0x616757230CFe930B016C4cde0620f58F6edE4447-1777974223801
0x616757230cfe930b016c4cde0620f58f6ede4447
- Realised P&L
- $190.15
- Volume
- $20.9k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $9.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.02at 0.596Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
- +$1.58at 0.150Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
- +$0.95at 0.660Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
- +$0.22at 0.369Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
- +$0.12at 0.191Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 13:11 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.50 |
| 08-02 13:10 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.4k |
| 08-02 13:07 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.5k |
| 08-02 13:06 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.5k |
| 08-02 11:33 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.70 |
| 08-01 11:21 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 08-01 11:21 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $598.80 |
| 08-01 11:17 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $599.40 |
| 08-01 06:07 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 08-01 04:16 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $700.00 |
| 08-01 02:35 | Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 08-01 00:51 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 07-31 17:32 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 07-31 04:57 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 07-31 01:27 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |