Phantomhive
0x6193a73ad4e7e3766ee4337812be9b5dd1f9d924
- Realised P&L
- $1.7k
- Volume
- $286.2k
- Markets traded
- 309
- Open portfolio
- $136.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded309
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.301Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
- +$1.2kat 0.766Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
- +$517.05at 0.486Will Trump and Elon say "Saudi Arabia" during their Feb 18 interview?
- +$345.54at 0.638Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
- +$330.88at 0.525Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-29 16:25 | Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.019 | $5.00 |
| 04-29 16:20 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.021 | $9.31 |
| 04-29 16:19 | Kash Patel out by December 31? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 04-29 16:18 | Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 04-29 16:06 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999994 | $10.00 |
| 04-29 15:50 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 04-29 15:47 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999633 | $5.00 |
| 04-29 14:39 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | SELL | 0.992 | $4.96 |
| 11-27 07:49 | US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30? | SELL | 0.94 | $6.71 |
| 11-17 13:39 | Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 11-17 13:35 | Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.75 | $45.00 |
| 11-16 22:08 | Will Johannes Kaiser come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election? | SELL | 0.8533333333 | $12.80 |
| 11-16 01:42 | Will Trump say "Steroid" in November? | BUY | 0.63 | $17.98 |
| 11-15 17:03 | Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (November 17 – 23) | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 11-15 15:44 | Will Trump say "Steroid" in November? | BUY | 0.62 | $0.10 |