PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

WalterSobchack

0x64befd4360723d4fd0ad845b99dd69f14b3ac653

Realised P&L
$-9.9k
Volume
$2.50M
Markets traded
579
Open portfolio
$15.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded579
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 03:27Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 4?SELL0.2$1.20
08-03 00:22Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 4?BUY0.36$1.80
08-03 00:08Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 4?SELL0.28$7.00
08-02 19:53Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4?SELL0.34$12.24
08-02 12:53Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 4?SELL0.3$1.50
08-02 02:39Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 3?SELL0.11$3.74
08-01 20:42Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 3?BUY0.33$7.26
08-01 14:09Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 3?BUY0.2$1.00
08-01 05:15Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 2?SELL0.45$10.80
07-31 18:11Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 2?BUY0.54$2.70
07-31 07:07Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 31?SELL0.41$4.81
07-31 03:18Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on August 1?SELL0.34$1.70
07-30 17:51Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 1?BUY0.33$1.65
07-29 16:21Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 31?BUY0.41$2.46
07-29 10:19Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.237$1.19